December 6, 2012

When It's Easier to Do Than to Think

The conditions under which action is epistemically superior to deliberation - when doing produces better knowledge than planning, and how to recognize them.

5 min read

The Limits of Prior Analysis

There is a broad class of problems where thinking about the problem in advance produces less knowledge than doing the thing would produce. Not because thinking is bad, but because the relevant information is only accessible through action.

Writing about writing is easier than writing. Cooking about cooking is easier than cooking. Planning a presentation is easier than giving one. In each case, the prior analysis can take you to a certain level of understanding, beyond which only direct engagement with the thing produces the knowledge you need.

The question is how to recognize when you are at that boundary - when additional prior analysis will produce diminishing returns while action would produce genuine new information.

What Action Produces

Action produces several kinds of knowledge that analysis cannot.

It produces tacit knowledge - the knowledge embedded in your hands, your intuitions, your automatic responses. You cannot develop this knowledge by thinking about what you would do. You develop it by doing the thing and receiving feedback through the doing.

It produces world-state information - actual information about how the world responds to your actions rather than modeled information about how you expect it to respond. Models are always incomplete. The world's actual response to your action fills in what the model left out.

It produces knowledge about your own reactions - how you feel doing the thing, what problems emerge that you did not anticipate, what comes more easily than you expected. This information about yourself is only accessible through engagement.

None of this is available through analysis alone.

The Cost Asymmetry

The choice between analysis and action is partly about cost asymmetry. Analysis has a low marginal cost - thinking about a problem for another hour is cheap, at least in terms of direct expenditure. The cost is the opportunity cost of not doing.

Action has a higher immediate cost (resources, commitment, irreversibility) and potentially a higher cost of being wrong. If the action produces new information but the new information reveals a bad direction, you may have to reverse course at cost.

The standard advice privileges analysis over action because it focuses on the cost of being wrong. What it underweights is the cost of not knowing - the lost information, the deferred learning, the window of opportunity that closes while analysis continues.

When to Shift

Several signals suggest you are at the boundary where action would produce more than analysis.

You are asking the same questions repeatedly without new answers. When your analysis keeps circling without producing new information, the new information may not be accessible through analysis.

You are modeling reactions rather than testing them. If your analysis consists largely of "and then they would probably respond by..." you are generating predictions about world-state rather than testing them. The predictions may be wrong in ways analysis cannot reveal.

The cost of a small action is low relative to the information it would produce. If there is an action you could take that would answer a key question at modest cost, doing it is epistemically superior to analyzing whether you should do it.

Your analysis has been thorough enough that additional analysis will refine your estimates by small amounts. When the marginal information gain from another round of analysis is small, the marginal information gain from action is likely larger.

The Complementary Rhythm

This is not an argument for acting without thinking. It is an argument for thinking until the point where action produces more information than thinking, and then acting while continuing to think.

The most effective practitioners in most domains alternate between deliberate analysis and engaged action, using each to inform the other. Analysis prepares the action and interprets its results. Action generates the raw material that analysis works with.

The failure mode is treating analysis and action as alternatives rather than complements, and extending whichever feels more comfortable past the point where it is most useful. Thinkers resist action; doers resist reflection. The productive mode requires both, in the sequence the problem actually calls for.